JULY 22 MORNING AG OUTLOOK

by Steve Freed

Grains are sharply lower. Price volatility  continues. SU is down 23 cents and near 13.74. SX is down 23 cents and near 13.65. SMU is near 366.6. BOU is near 63.21. CU is down 12 cents and near 5.758 CZ is down 13 cents and near 5.55. WU is down 16 cents and near 6.94. KWU is down 12 cents and near 6.56. MWU is down another 24 cents and near 8.73. US stocks are higher on positive earnings. US Dollar is mixed. Crude is higher.

EU weather model is wetter for US west Midwest and north plains. Most private forecast do not agree

Soybean futures flag technical formation support 13.53 with resistance 14.17. US summer weather key

Word that China bought 5 Argentina soybean cargoes of Aug-Sep negative. Weekly US sales 100-600 mt

US soybean fob price $565. Brazil $562.  Argentina $541. US soymeal fob $437, Argentina $391

Brazil July soy exports 5.4 mmt vs 9 est. China has not bought US since June 24 when SU was 12.50.

Canada canola futures lower on forecast of rain in S Manitoba and SE Saskatchewan. Too little too late?

Dalian soybean, corn, soymeal, palmoil and soyoil future lower. China soybean crush margins negative

US farmer new crop sales near 30-50 pct. Corn buyers covered for now. soybean crushers still buying

Brazil July corn exports 1.5 mmt. Brazil selling export corn back into higher domestic prices. 

Managed funds unwilling to add to corn longs given negative seasonal and slow export demand pace

US fob corn prices near $286, Argentina $241, Brazil $266, Ukraine $276. US export sales est 100-700

Minneapolis wheat now down 65 cents from Monday high on talk of Canada rain

Russia wheat harvest yields below last year. Some now est wheat crop near 80 mmt vs USDA 85.

No French harvest yield data yet. German/Baltic has good protein but test weight below average 

US HRW export prices near $313, Baltic $276, Germany $261, Russia $245, French $257

The information conveyed by ADMIS or it’s affiliates to the audience is intended to be instructional and is not intended to direct marketing, hedging or pricing strategy or to guaranty or predict future events, including the pricing and pricing movements of commodities and commodity future contracts.

2021-07-22T13:24:34+00:00 July 22nd, 2021|